Parti libéral du Canada
Mise à jour : 4 octobre 2026
| Chef | Mark Carney |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2025 | 43.8% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 46,6 % ± 4,4 % |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 174 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 237 [201-272] |
✓ Graphique copié !
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.
✓ Graphique copié !
Gains et pertes projetés comparés aux résultats de 2025.
Projection du vote | 4 octobre 2026
✓ Graphique copié !
Projection de sièges | 4 octobre 2026
✓ Copied!
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti libéral du Canada
| Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Marie-France Lalonde
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PLC solide | |
| 2. | Rob Oliphant
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PLC solide | |
| 3. | Gary Anandasangaree
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PLC solide | |
| 4. | Shaun Chen
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PLC solide | |
| 5. | Francis Scarpaleggia
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PLC solide | |
| 6. | Mark Carney
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PLC solide | |
| 7. | Serge Cormier
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PLC solide | |
| 8. | Leslie Church
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PLC solide | |
| 9. | Patricia Lattanzio
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PLC solide | |
| 10. | Wade Grant
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PLC solide | |
| 11. | Tom Osborne
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PLC solide | |
| 12. | Mona Fortier
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PLC solide | |
| 13. | David McGuinty
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PLC solide | |
| 14. | Ben Carr
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PLC solide | |
| 15. | Buckley Belanger
|
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PLC solide | |
| 16. | Darren Fisher
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PLC solide | |
| 17. | Julie Dabrusin
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PLC solide | |
| 18. | Doly Begum
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PLC solide | |
| 19. | Anna Gainey
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PLC solide | |
| 20. | Michael Coteau
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PLC solide | |
| 21. | Marc Miller
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PLC solide | |
| 22. | Taleeb Noormohamed
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PLC solide | |
| 23. | Alexandra Mendes
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PLC solide | |
| 24. | Mark Gerretsen
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PLC solide | |
| 25. | Jenna Sudds
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PLC solide | |
| 26. | Greg Fergus
|
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PLC solide | |
| 27. | Lena Metlege Diab
|
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PLC solide | |
| 28. | Steven MacKinnon
|
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PLC solide | |
| 29. | James Maloney
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PLC solide | |
| 30. | Salma Zahid
|
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PLC solide | |
| 31. | Sean Casey
|
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PLC solide | |
| 32. | Melanie Joly
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PLC solide | |
| 33. | Ginette Lavack
|
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PLC solide | |
| 34. | Terry Duguid
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PLC solide | |
| 35. | Sameer Zuberi
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PLC solide | |
| 36. | Ginette Petitpas Taylor
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PLC solide | |
| 37. | Anita Vandenbeld
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PLC solide | |
| 38. | Evan Solomon
|
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PLC solide | |
| 39. | Danielle Martin
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PLC solide | |
| 40. | Eric St-Pierre
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PLC solide | |
| 41. | Patrick Weiler
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PLC solide | |
| 42. | David Myles
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PLC solide | |
| 43. | Braedon Clark
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PLC solide | |
| 44. | Terry Beech
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PLC solide | |
| 45. | Dominic LeBlanc
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PLC solide | |
| 46. | Chi Nguyen
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PLC solide | |
| 47. | Anju Dhillon
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PLC solide | |
| 48. | Kevin Lamoureux
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PLC solide | |
| 49. | Braeden Caley
|
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PLC solide | |
| 50. | Abdelhaq Sari
|
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PLC solide | |
| 51. | Emmanuella Lambropoulos
|
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PLC solide | |
| 52. | Kody Blois
|
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PLC solide | |
| 53. | Bardish Chagger
|
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PLC solide | |
| 54. | Peter Schiefke
|
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PLC solide | |
| 55. | Jean Yip
|
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PLC solide | |
| 56. | Yvan Baker
|
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PLC solide | |
| 57. | Iqra Khalid
|
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PLC solide | |
| 58. | Karina Gould
|
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PLC solide | |
| 59. | Ahmed Hussen
|
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PLC solide | |
| 60. | Jennifer McKelvie
|
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PLC solide | |
| 61. | Judy Sgro
|
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PLC solide | |
| 62. | Tim Hodgson
|
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PLC solide | |
| 63. | Wayne Long
|
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PLC solide | |
| 64. | Joanne Thompson
|
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PLC solide | |
| 65. | Doug Eyolfson
|
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PLC solide | |
| 66. | Paul Connors
|
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PLC solide | |
| 67. | Giovanna Mingarelli
|
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PLC solide | |
| 68. | John Zerucelli
|
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PLC solide | |
| 69. | Tanveer Shahnawaz
|
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PLC solide | |
| 70. | Arielle Kayabaga
|
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PLC solide | |
| 71. | Joel Lightbound
|
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PLC solide | |
| 72. | Iqwinder Gaheer
|
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PLC solide | |
| 73. | Fares Al Soud
|
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PLC solide | |
| 74. | Juanita Nathan
|
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PLC solide | |
| 75. | JP Danko
|
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PLC solide | |
| 76. | Emma Harrison
|
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PLC solide | |
| 77. | Shannon Miedema
|
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PLC solide | |
| 78. | Hedy Fry
|
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PLC solide | |
| 79. | Angelo Iacono
|
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PLC solide | |
| 80. | Sima Acan
|
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PLC solide | |
| 81. | Will Greaves
|
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PLC solide | |
| 82. | Adam van Koeverden
|
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PLC solide | |
| 83. | Sophie Chatel
|
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PLC solide | |
| 84. | Patty Hajdu
|
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PLC solide | |
| 85. | Charles Sousa
|
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PLC solide | |
| 86. | Annie Koutrakis
|
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PLC solide | |
| 87. | Peter Fragiskatos
|
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PLC solide | |
| 88. | Gregor Robertson
|
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PLC solide | |
| 89. | Marjorie Michel
|
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PLC solide | |
| 90. | Chris Bittle
|
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PLC solide | |
| 91. | Carlos Leitao
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PLC solide | |
| 92. | Rachel Bendayan
|
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PLC solide | |
| 93. | Dominique O’Rourke
|
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PLC solide | |
| 94. | Julie Dzerowicz
|
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PLC solide | |
| 95. | Viviane Lapointe
|
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PLC solide | |
| 96. | Elisabeth Briere
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 97. | Vacant
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 98. | Francois-Philippe Champagne
|
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PLC solide | |
| 99. | Claude Guay
|
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PLC solide | |
| 100. | Stephanie McLean
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 101. | Faycal El-Khoury
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 102. | Sherry Romanado
|
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PLC solide | |
| 103. | Louis Villeneuve
|
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PLC solide | |
| 104. | Stephane Lauzon
|
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PLC solide | |
| 105. | Marianne Dandurand
|
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PLC solide | |
| 106. | Nathalie Provost
|
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PLC solide | |
| 107. | Marie-Gabrielle Menard
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 108. | Ali Ehsassi
|
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PLC solide | |
| 109. | Maggie Chi
|
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PLC solide | |
| 110. | Ryan Turnbull
|
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PLC solide | |
| 111. | Mike Kelloway
|
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PLC solide | |
| 112. | Caroline Desrochers
|
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PLC solide | |
| 113. | Heath MacDonald
|
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PLC solide | |
| 114. | Yasir Naqvi
|
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PLC solide | |
| 115. | Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 116. | Brendan Hanley
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 117. | Jessica Fancy-Landry
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 118. | Lisa Hepfner
|
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PLC solide | |
| 119. | Jill McKnight
|
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PLC solide | |
| 120. | Bruce Fanjoy
|
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PLC solide | |
| 121. | Anthony Housefather
|
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PLC solide | |
| 122. | Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 123. | Madeleine Chenette
|
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PLC solide | |
| 124. | Christopher Malette
|
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PLC solide | |
| 125. | Rechie Valdez
|
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PLC solide | |
| 126. | Daniel Gobeil
|
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PLC solide | |
| 127. | Kent McDonald
|
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PLC solide | |
| 128. | Helena Jaczek
|
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PLC solide | |
| 129. | Linda Lapointe
|
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PLC solide | |
| 130. | Vince Gasparro
|
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PLC solide | |
| 131. | Anita Anand
|
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PLC solide | |
| 132. | Rebecca Alty
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 133. | Peter Fonseca
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 134. | Marcus Powlowski
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 135. | Jean-Yves Duclos
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 136. | Wade Wei Lin Chang
|
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PLC probable | |
| 137. | Eleanor Olszewski
|
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PLC probable | |
| 138. | Pauline Rochefort
|
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PLC probable | |
| 139. | Terry Sheehan
|
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PLC probable | |
| 140. | Shafqat Ali
|
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PLC probable | |
| 141. | Maninder Sidhu
|
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PLC probable | |
| 142. | Kathy Borrelli
|
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PLC probable | |
| 143. | Ron McKinnon
|
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PLC probable | |
| 144. | Sean Fraser
|
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PLC probable | |
| 145. | Zoe Royer
|
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PLC probable | |
| 146. | Ernie Klassen
|
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PLC probable | |
| 147. | Tim Louis
|
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PLC probable | |
| 148. | Kristina Tesser Derksen
|
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PLC probable | |
| 149. | Sukh Dhaliwal
|
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PLC probable | |
| 150. | Randeep Sarai
|
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PLC probable | |
| 151. | Ruby Sahota
|
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PLC probable | |
| 152. | Sonia Sidhu
|
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PLC probable | |
| 153. | Jaime Battiste
|
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PLC probable | |
| 154. | Jacques Ramsay
|
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PLC probable | |
| 155. | Amandeep Sodhi
|
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PLC probable | |
| 156. | Gurbux Saini
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 157. | Steeve Lavoie
|
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PLC probable | |
| 158. | Parm Bains
|
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PLC probable | |
| 159. | Matt Strauss
|
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PLC probable | |
| 160. | Karim Bardeesy
|
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PLC probable | |
| 161. | Stephen Fuhr
|
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PLC probable | |
| 162. | Mandy Gull
|
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PLC probable | |
| 163. | Michael Ma [Élu avec le PCC]
|
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PLC probable | |
| 164. | Philip Lawrence
|
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PLC probable | |
| 165. | Bobby Morrissey
|
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PLC probable | |
| 166. | Sandra Cobena
|
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PLC probable | |
| 167. | Fred Davies
|
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PLC probable | |
| 168. | Timothy Watchorn
|
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PLC probable | |
| 169. | Corey Hogan
|
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PLC probable | |
| 170. | Chris d’Entremont [Élu avec le PCC]
|
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PLC probable | |
| 171. | Alana Hirtle
|
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PLC probable | |
| 172. | Marc Dalton
|
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PLC probable | |
| 173. | Philip Earle
|
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PLC probable | |
| 174. | Tony Baldinelli
|
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PLC probable | |
| 175. | Tamara Jansen
|
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PLC probable | |
| 176. | Michael Barrett
|
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PLC probable | |
| 177. | Adam Chambers
|
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PLC probable | |
| 178. | Amarjeet Gill
|
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PLC probable | |
| 179. | Connie Cody
|
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PLC probable | |
| 180. | Jamil Jivani
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PLC probable | |
| 181. | Andrew Lawton
|
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PLC probable | |
| 182. | Scott Reid
|
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PLC probable | |
| 183. | Jonathan Rowe
|
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PLC probable | |
| 184. | Roman Baber
|
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PLC probable | |
| 185. | Helena Konanz
|
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PLC probable | |
| 186. | Natilien Joseph
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 187. | Mike Dawson
|
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PLC enclin | |
| 188. | Rhonda Kirkland
|
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PLC enclin | |
| 189. | Ned Kuruc
|
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PLC enclin | |
| 190. | Dean Allison
|
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PLC enclin | |
| 191. | Jim Belanger
|
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PLC enclin | |
| 192. | Chak Au
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PLC enclin | |
| 193. | Scott Aitchison
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PLC enclin | |
| 194. | Terry Dowdall
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PLC enclin | |
| 195. | Michael Chong
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PLC enclin | |
| 196. | Dalwinder Gill
|
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PLC enclin | |
| 197. | Raquel Dancho
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PLC enclin | |
| 198. | Vincent Neil Ho
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PLC enclin | |
| 199. | Doug Shipley
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PLC enclin | |
| 200. | Gaetan Malette
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PLC enclin | |
| 201. | Aslam Rana
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PLC enclin | |
| 202. | Tamara Kronis
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PLC enclin | |
| 203. | Dan Albas
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PLC enclin | |
| 204. | Scott Anderson
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PLC enclin | |
| 205. | Larry Brock
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PLC enclin | |
| 206. | Rebecca Chartrand
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PLC enclin | |
| 207. | Ben Lobb
|
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PLC enclin | |
| 208. | Matt Jeneroux [Élu avec le PCC]
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PLC enclin | |
| 209. | Dan Muys
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PLC enclin | |
| 210. | Costas Menegakis
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PLC enclin | |
| 211. | Tatiana Auguste
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PLC enclin | |
| 212. | John Nater
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PLC enclin | |
| 213. | Warren Steinley
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PLC enclin | |
| 214. | Tako van Popta
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PLC enclin | |
| 215. | Andreanne Larouche
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PLC enclin | |
| 216. | Jake Sawatzky
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PLC enclin | |
| 217. | Eric Melillo
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PLC enclin | |
| 218. | Alex Ruff
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PLC enclin | |
| 219. | Kelly McCauley
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PLC enclin | |
| 220. | Michael Kram
|
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PLC enclin | |
| 221. | Corey Tochor
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 222. | Shelby Kramp-Neuman
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 223. | Sukhman Singh Gill
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 224. | Greg McLean
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 225. | Carol Anstey
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 226. | Lianne Rood
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 227. | Lori Idlout [Élu avec le NPD]
|
 |
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 228. | Frank Caputo
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 229. | Arpan Khanna
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 230. | Mario Beaulieu
|
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Pivot PLC/BQ | |
| 231. | Patrick Bonin
|
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Pivot PLC/BQ | |
| 232. | Jacob Mantle
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 233. | Kevin Waugh
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 234. | Eric Duncan
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 235. | Marilyn Gladu
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 236. | Jagsharan Singh Mahal
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 237. | Éric Lefebvre
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 238. | Mel Arnold
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 239. | Jamie Schmale
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 240. | Harbinder Gill
|
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Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 241. | Cheryl Gallant
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 242. | Xavier Barsalou-Duval
|
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Pivot PLC/BQ | |
| 243. | Jean-Denis Garon
|
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Pivot PLC/BQ | |
| 244. | Alexis Deschenes
|
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Pivot PLC/BQ | |
| 245. | Vacant
|
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Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 246. | Kelly DeRidder
|
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Pivot PLC/PVC | |
| 247. | Clifford Small
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 248. | John Williamson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 249. | Kurt Holman
|
|
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 250. | Rob Moore
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 251. | John Brassard
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 252. | Jeff Kibble
|
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Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 253. | Ziad Aboultaif
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 254. | Amanpreet Singh Gill
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 255. | Billy Morin
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 256. | Pierre Paul-Hus
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 257. | Gérard Deltell
|
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Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 258. | Tim Uppal
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 259. | Chris Lewis
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 260. | Leslyn Lewis
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 261. | Maxime Blanchette-Joncas
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 262. | Marie-Helene Gaudreau
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 263. | Michael Guglielmin
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 264. | Christine Normandin
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 265. | Dave Epp
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 266. | Vacant
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 267. | Pat Kelly
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 268. | Scot Davidson
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 269. | Yves Perron
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 270. | Gabriel Hardy
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 271. | Don Davies
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 272. | Jenny Kwan
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 273. | Aaron Gunn
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 274. | Mark Strahl
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 275. | Leah Gazan
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 276. | Michelle Rempel Garner
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 277. | Brad Vis
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 278. | Claude DeBellefeuille
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 279. | David McKenzie
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 280. | Rheal Fortin
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 281. | Kyle Seeback
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 282. | Anna Roberts
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 283. | Yves-Francois Blanchet
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 284. | Bernard Genereux
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 285. | Rob Morrison
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 286. | Jacques Gourde
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 287. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 288. | Richard Bragdon
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 289. | Martin Champoux
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 290. | Elizabeth May
|
|
PVC probable | |
| 291. | Mario Simard
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 292. | Marilene Gill
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 293. | Jasraj Singh Hallan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 294. | Dominique Vien
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 295. | Brad Redekopp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 296. | Gabriel Ste-Marie
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 297. | Rachael Thomas
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 298. | James Bezan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 299. | Joel Godin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 300. | Gord Johns
|
|
NPD probable | |
| 301. | Louis Plamondon
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 302. | Melissa Lantsman
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 303. | Luc Theriault
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 304. | Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 305. | Todd Doherty
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 306. | Sebastien Lemire
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 307. | Stephanie Kusie
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 308. | Michael Cooper
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 309. | Andrew Scheer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 310. | Colin Reynolds
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 311. | Grant Jackson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 312. | Tom Kmiec
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 313. | Ted Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 314. | Garnett Genuis
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 315. | Kerry Diotte
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD |