Parti conservateur du Canada
Mise à jour : 17 mai 2026
| Chef | Pierre Poilievre |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2025 | 41.3% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 34,7 % ± 3,3 % |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 140 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 94 [62-130] |
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.
Gains et pertes projetés comparés aux résultats de 2025.
Projection du vote | 17 mai 2026
Projection de sièges | 17 mai 2026
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur du Canada
| Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Steven Bonk
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 2. | Chris Warkentin
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 3. | Jeremy Patzer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 4. | Shannon Stubbs
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 5. | Laila Goodridge
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 6. | Pierre Poilievre
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 7. | David Bexte
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 8. | Arnold Viersen
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 9. | Kelly Block
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 10. | Cathay Wagantall
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 11. | John Barlow
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 12. | Glen Motz
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 13. | Rosemarie Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 14. | Blaine Calkins
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 15. | Dane Lloyd
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 16. | Mike Lake
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 17. | Bob Zimmer
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 18. | Fraser Tolmie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 19. | Burton Bailey
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 20. | Randy Hoback
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 21. | Blake Richards
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 22. | Branden Leslie
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 23. | William Stevenson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 24. | Dan Mazier
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 25. | Melissa Lantsman
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 26. | Ted Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 27. | Garnett Genuis
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 28. | Andrew Scheer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 29. | Jason Groleau
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 30. | Grant Jackson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 31. | Luc Berthold
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 32. | Tom Kmiec
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 33. | Todd Doherty
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 34. | Michael Cooper
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 35. | Stephanie Kusie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 36. | James Bezan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 37. | Anna Roberts
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 38. | Rob Morrison
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 39. | Kyle Seeback
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 40. | Brad Redekopp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 41. | Richard Bragdon
|
 |
PCC probable | |
| 42. | Joel Godin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 43. | Brad Vis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 44. | Rachael Thomas
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 45. | Mark Strahl
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 46. | Scot Davidson
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 47. | Dave Epp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 48. | Dominique Vien
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 49. | Jasraj Singh Hallan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 50. | Michael Guglielmin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 51. | Leslyn Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 52. | Chris Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 53. | John Brassard
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 54. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 55. | Jacques Gourde
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 56. | Jamie Schmale
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 57. | Cheryl Gallant
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 58. | Bernard Genereux
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 59. | Marilyn Gladu
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 60. | Rob Moore
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 61. | Eric Duncan
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 62. | John Williamson
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 63. | Mel Arnold
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 64. | Jacob Mantle
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 65. | David McKenzie
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 66. | Clifford Small
|
 |
PCC enclin | |
| 67. | Michelle Rempel Garner
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 68. | Arpan Khanna
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 69. | Lianne Rood
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 70. | Shelby Kramp-Neuman
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 71. | Frank Caputo
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 72. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 73. | Alex Ruff
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 74. | Ellis Ross
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 75. | Gérard Deltell
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 76. | Tim Uppal
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 77. | Sukhman Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 78. | Pierre Paul-Hus
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 79. | John Nater
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 80. | Billy Morin
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 81. | Amanpreet Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 82. | Ziad Aboultaif
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 83. | Kevin Waugh
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 84. | Colin Reynolds
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 85. | Carol Anstey
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 86. | Costas Menegakis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 87. | Kerry Diotte
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 88. | Dan Muys
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 89. | Ben Lobb
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 90. | Larry Brock
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 91. | Eric Melillo
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 92. | Tako van Popta
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 93. | Doug Shipley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 94. | Vincent Neil Ho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 95. | Aaron Gunn
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 96. | Scott Anderson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 97. | Terry Dowdall
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 98. | Gaetan Malette
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 99. | Michael Chong
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 100. | Scott Aitchison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 101. | Dan Albas
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 102. | Tamara Kronis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 103. | Corey Tochor
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 104. | Éric Lefebvre
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 105. | Michael Kram
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 106. | Jagsharan Singh Mahal
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 107. | Jim Belanger
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 108. | Dean Allison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 109. | Ned Kuruc
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 110. | Rhonda Kirkland
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 111. | Warren Steinley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 112. | Kurt Holman
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 113. | Roman Baber
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 114. | Kelly DeRidder
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/PVC | |
| 115. | Chak Au
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 116. | Scott Reid
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 117. | Jamil Jivani
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 118. | Andrew Lawton
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 119. | Helena Konanz
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 120. | Gabriel Hardy
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 121. | Connie Cody
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 122. | Harbinder Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 123. | Jeff Kibble
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 124. | Adam Chambers
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 125. | Amarjeet Gill
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 126. | Greg McLean
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 127. | Michael Barrett
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 128. | Raquel Dancho
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 129. | Mike Dawson
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 130. | Tony Baldinelli
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 131. | Jonathan Rowe
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 132. | Kelly McCauley
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 133. | Richard Martel
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 134. | Tamara Jansen
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 135. | Marc Dalton
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 136. | Fred Davies
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 137. | Sandra Cobena
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 138. | Philip Lawrence
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 139. | Matt Jeneroux [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 140. | Alana Hirtle
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 141. | Michael Ma [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 142. | Chris d’Entremont [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 143. | Matt Strauss
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 144. | Philip Earle
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 145. | Dalwinder Gill
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 146. | Stephen Fuhr
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 147. | Gord Johns
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 148. | Parm Bains
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 149. | Amandeep Sodhi
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 150. | Bobby Morrissey
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 151. | Kristina Tesser Derksen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 152. | Ruby Sahota
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 153. | Tim Louis
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 154. | Sonia Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 155. | Kathy Borrelli
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 156. | Gurbux Saini
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 157. | Randeep Sarai
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 158. | Sukh Dhaliwal
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 159. | Zoe Royer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 160. | Ernie Klassen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 161. | Jaime Battiste
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 162. | Ron McKinnon
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 163. | Shafqat Ali
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 164. | Maninder Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 165. | Pauline Rochefort
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 166. | Terry Sheehan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 167. | Sean Fraser
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 168. | Marcus Powlowski
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 169. | Corey Hogan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 170. | Peter Fonseca
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 171. | Wade Wei Lin Chang
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 172. | Lori Idlout [Élu avec le NPD]
|
 |
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 173. | Vince Gasparro
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 174. | Christopher Malette
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 175. | Anita Anand
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 176. | Helena Jaczek
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 177. | Bruce Fanjoy
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 178. | Lisa Hepfner
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 179. | Rechie Valdez
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 180. | Jill McKnight
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 181. | Rebecca Alty
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 182. | Kent McDonald
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 183. | Jake Sawatzky
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 184. | Brendan Hanley
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 185. | Sima Acan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 186. | Charles Sousa
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 187. | Adam van Koeverden
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 188. | Jessica Fancy-Landry
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 189. | Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 190. | Ryan Turnbull
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 191. | Iqwinder Gaheer
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 192. | Heath MacDonald
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 193. | Mike Kelloway
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 194. | Mario Simard
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 195. | Tim Hodgson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 196. | Fares Al Soud
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 197. | Heather McPherson
|
|
NPD solide | |
| 198. | Aslam Rana
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 199. | Ali Ehsassi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 200. | Eleanor Olszewski
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 201. | Viviane Lapointe
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 202. | Steeve Lavoie
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 203. | Juanita Nathan
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 204. | Iqra Khalid
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 205. | John Zerucelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 206. | Anthony Housefather
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 207. | Gregor Robertson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 208. | Buckley Belanger
|
|
PLC solide |