Parti conservateur du Canada
Mise à jour : 5 juillet 2026
| Chef | Pierre Poilievre |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2025 | 41.3% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 34,7 % ± 3,2 % |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 140 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 101 [68-131] |
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.
Gains et pertes projetés comparés aux résultats de 2025.
Projection du vote | 5 juillet 2026
Projection de sièges | 5 juillet 2026
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur du Canada
| Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Steven Bonk
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 2. | Jeremy Patzer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 3. | Chris Warkentin
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 4. | Shannon Stubbs
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 5. | Laila Goodridge
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 6. | David Bexte
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 7. | Pierre Poilievre
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 8. | Kelly Block
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 9. | Arnold Viersen
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 10. | Cathay Wagantall
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 11. | John Barlow
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 12. | Rosemarie Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 13. | Glen Motz
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 14. | Dane Lloyd
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 15. | Blaine Calkins
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 16. | Mike Lake
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 17. | Fraser Tolmie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 18. | Burton Bailey
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 19. | Bob Zimmer
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 20. | Randy Hoback
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 21. | Blake Richards
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 22. | Branden Leslie
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 23. | William Stevenson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 24. | Dan Mazier
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 25. | Ted Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 26. | Melissa Lantsman
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 27. | Tom Kmiec
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 28. | Jason Groleau
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 29. | Andrew Scheer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 30. | Garnett Genuis
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 31. | Luc Berthold
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 32. | Grant Jackson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 33. | Stephanie Kusie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 34. | Todd Doherty
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 35. | Michael Cooper
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 36. | James Bezan
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 37. | Joel Godin
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 38. | Dominique Vien
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 39. | Kyle Seeback
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 40. | Brad Redekopp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 41. | Jacques Gourde
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 42. | Anna Roberts
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 43. | Richard Bragdon
|
 |
PCC probable | |
| 44. | Bernard Genereux
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 45. | Rob Morrison
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 46. | Rachael Thomas
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 47. | Scot Davidson
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 48. | Dave Epp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 49. | Jasraj Singh Hallan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 50. | Michael Guglielmin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 51. | Leslyn Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 52. | Chris Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 53. | Brad Vis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 54. | John Brassard
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 55. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 56. | Mark Strahl
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 57. | Gérard Deltell
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 58. | Cheryl Gallant
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 59. | Jamie Schmale
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 60. | Pierre Paul-Hus
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 61. | Marilyn Gladu
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 62. | David McKenzie
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 63. | Eric Duncan
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 64. | Rob Moore
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 65. | Jacob Mantle
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 66. | Michelle Rempel Garner
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 67. | John Williamson
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 68. | Arpan Khanna
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 69. | Clifford Small
|
 |
PCC enclin | |
| 70. | Lianne Rood
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 71. | Éric Lefebvre
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 72. | Kevin Waugh
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 73. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 74. | Shelby Kramp-Neuman
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 75. | Mel Arnold
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 76. | Alex Ruff
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 77. | Tim Uppal
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 78. | Billy Morin
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 79. | Amanpreet Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 80. | Ziad Aboultaif
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 81. | John Nater
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 82. | Gabriel Hardy
|
|
Pivot PCC/BQ | |
| 83. | Dan Muys
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 84. | Costas Menegakis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 85. | Ben Lobb
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 86. | Larry Brock
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 87. | Carol Anstey
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 88. | Eric Melillo
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 89. | Corey Tochor
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 90. | Frank Caputo
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 91. | Michael Kram
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 92. | Doug Shipley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 93. | Warren Steinley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 94. | Sukhman Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 95. | Vincent Neil Ho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 96. | Michael Chong
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 97. | Kerry Diotte
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 98. | Terry Dowdall
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 99. | Gaetan Malette
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 100. | Scott Aitchison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 101. | Richard Martel
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 102. | Colin Reynolds
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 103. | Jagsharan Singh Mahal
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 104. | Dean Allison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 105. | Jim Belanger
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 106. | Ned Kuruc
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 107. | Rhonda Kirkland
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 108. | Tako van Popta
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 109. | Ellis Ross
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 110. | Raquel Dancho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 111. | Roman Baber
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 112. | Scott Reid
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 113. | Jamil Jivani
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 114. | Andrew Lawton
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 115. | Scott Anderson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 116. | Dan Albas
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 117. | Tamara Kronis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 118. | Connie Cody
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 119. | Greg McLean
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 120. | Adam Chambers
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 121. | Amarjeet Gill
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 122. | Michael Barrett
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 123. | Aaron Gunn
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 124. | Tony Baldinelli
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 125. | Mike Dawson
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 126. | Kelly McCauley
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 127. | Chak Au
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 128. | Jonathan Rowe
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 129. | Helena Konanz
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 130. | Fred Davies
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 131. | Kurt Holman
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 132. | Sandra Cobena
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 133. | Matt Jeneroux [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 134. | Kelly DeRidder
|
|
PVC enclin | |
| 135. | Philip Lawrence
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 136. | Michael Ma [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 137. | Alana Hirtle
|
 |
PLC enclin | |
| 138. | Jeff Kibble
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 139. | Harbinder Gill
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 140. | Matt Strauss
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 141. | Dalwinder Gill
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 142. | Chris d’Entremont [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 143. | Tamara Jansen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 144. | Philip Earle
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 145. | Marc Dalton
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 146. | Amandeep Sodhi
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 147. | Kristina Tesser Derksen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 148. | Bobby Morrissey
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 149. | Sonia Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 150. | Ruby Sahota
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 151. | Tim Louis
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 152. | Kathy Borrelli
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 153. | Stephen Fuhr
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 154. | Parm Bains
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 155. | Jaime Battiste
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 156. | Shafqat Ali
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 157. | Maninder Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 158. | Pauline Rochefort
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 159. | Terry Sheehan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 160. | Sean Fraser
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 161. | Gurbux Saini
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 162. | Corey Hogan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 163. | Gord Johns
|
|
NPD probable | |
| 164. | Marcus Powlowski
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 165. | Sukh Dhaliwal
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 166. | Peter Fonseca
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 167. | Randeep Sarai
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 168. | Zoe Royer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 169. | Vince Gasparro
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 170. | Ernie Klassen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 171. | Christopher Malette
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 172. | Ron McKinnon
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 173. | Helena Jaczek
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 174. | Anita Anand
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 175. | Bruce Fanjoy
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 176. | Rechie Valdez
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 177. | Lisa Hepfner
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 178. | Mario Simard
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 179. | Lori Idlout [Élu avec le NPD]
|
 |
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 180. | Wade Wei Lin Chang
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 181. | Steeve Lavoie
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 182. | Sima Acan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 183. | Charles Sousa
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 184. | Rebecca Alty
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 185. | Adam van Koeverden
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 186. | Kent McDonald
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 187. | Ryan Turnbull
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 188. | Jessica Fancy-Landry
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 189. | Brendan Hanley
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 190. | Anthony Housefather
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 191. | Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 192. | Jill McKnight
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 193. | Iqwinder Gaheer
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 194. | Heath MacDonald
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 195. | Fares Al Soud
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 196. | Mike Kelloway
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 197. | Eleanor Olszewski
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 198. | Tim Hodgson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 199. | Jake Sawatzky
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 200. | Ali Ehsassi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 201. | Chris Bittle
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 202. | Viviane Lapointe
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 203. | Jean Yip
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 204. | Marilene Gill
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 205. | Yvan Baker
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 206. | Juanita Nathan
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 207. | Emma Harrison
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 208. | Iqra Khalid
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 209. | Maggie Chi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 210. | John Zerucelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 211. | Heather McPherson
|
|
NPD solide | |
| 212. | Doug Eyolfson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 213. | Wayne Long
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 214. | Gregor Robertson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 215. | Buckley Belanger
|
|
PLC solide |